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Wind Turbine Quantification and Reduction of Uncertainties Based on a Data-Driven Data Assimilation Approach

Adrien Hirvoas 1 Clémentine Prieur 2 Élise Arnaud 2 Fabien Caleyron 1 Miguel Munoz Zuniga 1 
2 AIRSEA - Mathematics and computing applied to oceanic and atmospheric flows
Inria Grenoble - Rhône-Alpes, UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes, LJK - Laboratoire Jean Kuntzmann, Grenoble INP - Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology
Abstract : In this paper, we propose a procedure for quantifying and reducing uncertainties that impact numerical simulations involved in the estimation of the fatigue of a wind turbine structure. The present study generalizes a previous work carried out by the authors proposing to quantify and to reduce uncertainties that affect the properties of a wind turbine model by combining a global sensitivity analysis and a recursive Bayesian filtering approach. We extend the procedure to include the uncertainties involved in the modeling of a synthetic wind field. Unlike the model properties having a static or slow time-variant behavior, the parameters related to the external solicitation have a non-explicit dynamic behavior, which must be taken into account during the recursive inference. A non-parametric data-driven approach to approximate the non-explicit dynamic of the inflow related parameters is used. More precisely, we focus on data assimilation methods combining a nearest neighbor or an analog sampler with a stochastic filtering method such as the ensemble Kalman filter. The so-called data-driven data assimilation approach is used to recursively reduce the uncertainties that affect the parameters related to both model properties and wind field. For the approximation of the non-explicit dynamic of the wind inflow related parameters, in situ observations obtained from a light detection and ranging system and a cup-anemometer device are used. For the data-assimilation procedure, synthetic data simulated from the aero-servo-elastic numerical model are considered. The next investigations will be to verify the procedure with real in situ data.
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https://hal-ifp.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03855143
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Submitted on : Wednesday, November 16, 2022 - 11:09:02 AM
Last modification on : Tuesday, November 29, 2022 - 9:41:30 PM

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Adrien Hirvoas, Clémentine Prieur, Élise Arnaud, Fabien Caleyron, Miguel Munoz Zuniga. Wind Turbine Quantification and Reduction of Uncertainties Based on a Data-Driven Data Assimilation Approach. Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy, 2022, 14 (5), pp.053303. ⟨10.1063/5.0086255⟩. ⟨hal-03855143⟩

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